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Rupiah Lesu, Level Rp17.000/US$ Makin Dekat

Rupiah terus melemah terhadap dolar AS, mendekati level Rp17.000 per US$ akibat tekanan eksternal dan domestik.

Nilai tukar rupiah ditutup pada Rp16.833 per US$ pada 12 Januari 2026, turun 0,33% dalam hari ketujuh pelemahan beruntun. Rupiah belum menguat sepanjang 2026, dengan prediksi mencapai Rp17.000 akhir tahun ini karena arus modal asing lemah.

Penyebab Utama

Faktor eksternal seperti invasi AS ke Venezuela dan gejolak Iran memicu risk-off di pasar emerging seperti Indonesia. Secara domestik, pelemahan lebih dominan meski mata uang Asia lain seperti baht Thailand dan ringgit Malaysia menguat.

Dampak Ekonomi

Prediksi HSBC menunjukkan rupiah berpotensi Rp17.000/US$ hingga akhir 2026, meski ekspor solid, karena neraca pembayaran tertekan. Pelemahan ini menekan kripto dan konsumsi lokal, mirip tren 2025 saat sempat tembus Rp17.000.

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