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Target Harga BUMI Rp600 di 2026: Analisis Fundamental & Teknikal

Target Harga BUMI Rp600 di 2026: Analisis Fundamental & Teknikal

Saham BUMI (PT Bumi Resources Tbk) menunjukkan potensi mencapai target harga Rp600 di 2026, didukung momentum beli institusional dan transformasi bisnis, meski kinerja operasional diproyeksikan stagnan. Harga terkini per 15 Januari 2026 berada di Rp1.225, setelah fluktuasi signifikan dari Rp420 awal tahun. Analisis ini membahas aspek fundamental dan teknikal untuk menilai kelayakan target tersebut.

Kondisi Fundamental

BUMI memproyeksikan penjualan batubara stabil di 77-78 juta ton pada 2026, didorong KPC dan Arutmin, tapi tanpa pertumbuhan signifikan akibat pelemahan permintaan global. Perusahaan beralih ke mineral seperti tembaga, bauksit, dan akuisisi (misalnya Wolfram di Queensland dan Laman Mining), dengan target komposisi pendapatan 50:50 mineral-termal pada 2031. Kuasi reorganisasi dan restrukturisasi utang tingkatkan sentimen, ditambah laba bersih positif di Q3 2025 (USD29,4 juta).

Analisis Teknikal

Saham BUMI naik 93% dalam sebulan akhir 2025-awal 2026, dengan tren bullish tapi volatil; support Rp414-448, resistance Rp476. Indikator MACD positif meski Stochastic overbought, dan akumulasi asing (UBS, JP Morgan) dorong likuiditas tinggi hingga Rp1,73T dalam sehari. Potensi rebound ke Rp430-600 jika support bertahan, tapi risiko koreksi dari profit taking.

Target Rp600: Kelayakan

Target Harga BUMI Rp600 di 2026: Analisis Fundamental & Teknikal

(Foto Saham BUMI dari Google Finansial)

Analis seperti Hendra Wardana proyeksikan Rp500 jangka pendek, hingga Rp600 dalam 1-3 bulan jika diversifikasi mineral dan inflow asing berlanjut. Risiko utama: fluktuasi komoditas, produksi batubara nasional turun di bawah 700 juta ton, dan volatilitas IHSG. Secara keseluruhan, target realistis untuk jangka menengah 2026 dengan katalis korporasi kuat.

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