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Saham PANI 2026: Upside 50% atau Koreksi? Analisis Lengkap

Saham PANI 2026: Upside 50% atau Koreksi? Analisis Lengkap

Saham PANI (PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk), emiten properti, menunjukkan potensi upside signifikan di 2026 didukung katalis fundamental kuat meskipun valuasi tinggi. Saat ini pada Januari 2026, harga saham berada di kisaran Rp13.000 setelah kenaikan tajam 9,92% pada sesi pertama 19 Januari, dengan pembelian asing mencapai Rp55 miliar. Analisis analis mayoritas memproyeksikan target harga Rp18.000-Rp30.000, menyiratkan upside hingga 50% atau lebih dari level terkini.

Kinerja Terkini

PANI mencatat marketing sales kuat di 2025 meski revisi target menjadi Rp4,3 triliun, dengan laba bersih tumbuh dua digit hingga Q3-2025. Pada akhir 2025, harga tutup Rp12.400, dan awal 2026 fluktuatif di Rp12.000-Rp13.000 sebelum rebound. Volume perdagangan tinggi dengan tren uptrend, di atas MA200 harian.

Faktor Positif

Proyeksi pendapatan 2026 Rp5,31 triliun dan laba growth 37,6% tahunan.

Potensi masuk indeks MSCI Februari 2026 tarik inflow asing.

Pembelian asing kuat dan sinyal teknikal beli (MACD positif, RSI 55).

Risiko Koreksi

Saham PANI 2026: Upside 50% atau Koreksi? Analisis Lengkap

(Foto Saham PANI dari Google Finansial)

Valuasi premium dengan PER 375-490x dan PBV 12,7x jauh di atas sektor properti (rata-rata PER 17,7x). Koreksi mungkin jika breakdown support Rp11.800-Rp12.500 akibat volatilitas IHSG atau pelonggaran moneter BI. Overvaluasi dan fluktuasi makro seperti inflasi jadi ancaman jangka pendek.

Proyeksi 2026

Konsensus analis: upside 27-59% ke Rp19.100-Rp25.000, dengan potensi 50%+ jika katalis PSN dan ekspansi lahan terealisasi. Rekomendasi mayoritas BUY/spekulatif, tapi pantau support kunci untuk hindari koreksi >10%.

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